2020-09-10

Manipulation Of Mental Health And Statistics Is Up 25%

 Mother Theresa said cases are trending in the wrong direction before schools open. The fear here is cases are going up and schools haven't been in full swing. What's going to happen come the fall!?

Again, they're basing their pre-emptive micro-managing game plan on projections. Projections that haven't exactly served us well. In fact, it's a marvel we even bother with these models that plunged the world into a panicked lockdown. You would think someone - anyone. Kermit the Frog - would raise their hand and suggest maybe, you know, pivoting away from this strategy? 

Officials are in too deep. They've foolishly and unwisely pushed themselves and society into a corner to which it will be extremely tricky and difficult to extricate themselves.

By continuously banging the drum of fear telling people we're still in an emergency, they further drive the confidence of people into the ground. A people with low morale leads to lower overall good health which eventually leads to a suppressed immune system that in turn leaves people vulnerable to a virus.

At every single turn, the government of Canada (and others including the United States and the dumbass blowhards in Australia and New Zealand - two hysterical countries that will be at the front of the line when books are written about how NOT to deal with a mild virus) has missed with its strategies. And once again, we have it backwards.

The fear of the virus hitting kids is slightly exaggerated. Yes, they can spread the disease, but again the evidence shows it's likely to be rare since they tend to be asymptomatic and studies are showing the spread from such a group is unclear and not likely to be excessive. They're not 'vectors' to the degree our protocols and fears suggest.

In any event, as the case of Sweden shows, a virus that turns its path onto the healthy is not a bad thing. It's what you want to build antibodies and achieve herd immunity.

Why in the world would we consider another shutdown of schools? Students have already paid a massive price these past six months.

Massive. This is our future we're talking about here. Does anyone comprehend this? 

Enough with the silly and sophomoric analogies to war. A doctor I know used that nonsense on me. Quite frankly, I've been thoroughly unimpressed with doctor and public health officials throughout this pandemic. The utter lack of perspective has been a travesty. Whenever I've come in contact with a person who is paralyzed by fear it has often be a doctor. So much so, I can't even speak with a couple of them.

Their two popular 'go to' shticks are: Do you want your mother hooked up to tubes? And this is war!

What a bunch of emotional bull shit.

I can't believe they still six months on use the former and the latter is just dumb.

Let's get one thing straight. You're not more virtuous or patriotic if you wear a piece of pseudo-science artisanal mask and you're nowhere near what kids went through during the Great Wars. To do so is to be arrogant, narcissistic, ignorant and demeans the real threat to human life the wars represented. To the tunes of tens of millions plus an influenza pandemic that killed tens of millions more. 

And we have the audacity to compare ourselves to what that generation went through?

I'm sorry but this virus is NOT akin to Blitzkrieg bombs raining down on London. 

To believe this is to be shockingly stupid. 

Stupid.

It also points to our mettle being weak.

We yearn for adversity and challenges as a species and we haven't had one for a long time. Which makes me think of this:

Hard times create strong men.
Strong men create good times.
Good times create weak men.
Weak men create hard times.

We're in stage three.

Another doctor I communicate with from time to time expressed frustration the other day. I was hoping he had seen the light about the destruction lockdowns caused. Always talking about 'saving a live' he persistently and consistently dismisses the secondary trade-offs impacting lives. To me, this is how sociopaths operate. How other to interpret this lack of empathy?

Unfortunately, he still clings to the notions mentioned above (with an added dash of severe Trump Derangement Syndrome). He said, 'he's tired of all the whining'. As in, those of us who are challenging what's being reported and fed to the public. 

But here's the thing. HE'S the whiner. It's people like that who have us mired in this senseless vortex of constant fear. 

All he does is worry about the virus. 

So with all that let's keep things simple and real. 

Tam said cases are up 25%. The media, being thoughtless jackals (no disrespect to jackals) addicted to sensational rubbish all too ready to rile up people without context, ran with it.

25% sounds like a lot. And indeed, cases have gone up.

But here's the perspective and context we MUST keep in mind.

First, cases onto themselves mean little. Especially with hospitalizations and deaths being so low. Why? Because it reveals the virus is not threatening us. Just because there's a case, doesn't mean we're going to be hit with a killer wave. It just means, well, you have a virus. 

The government has, perhaps unwittingly, made people sufficiently worried that all they do is focus on cases and outliers. They look at cases going up but don't shift their eyes over to the death column and do some basic math and use deductive reasoning. For example, if you have say, 500 cases but two deaths. How is this remotely something to be concerned over? Well, another psychological problem which points to the trauma we've caused, is we put a lot of emphasis on the vaccine to come in and bring us all to he'd immunity. 

The problem is twofold with this thinking. One, as the virus peters out (as we see with Sweden and likely to see shortly in Europe where several countries do not mandate masks or mandate them in schools), the likelihood for a vaccine being necessary recedes. As one professor and expert of virology has suggested, this virus may become the 5th strain of the common cold. The other is, what if (and this is highly probable) the vaccine (s) isn't (aren't) effective or safe? Already one of the leading teams (Astra-Zeneca and Oxford) has had to pause trials due to complications. It's worth noting Oxford had been working on a vaccine for the common cold for, I believe it was 20 years, in the 1980s before it ditched it and shifted towards AIDS. Point is, they couldn't find one.

We've been at influenza vaccines for 40 years and haven't come up with one that really is better than 50% effective in any given year. What makes us think a rushed vaccine for a corona virus we've never ever come up with will happen?

Wouldn't it have been much more prudent and sound to steer the population away from the notion of 'no new norma until a vaccine'? What happens if it doesn't happen? Then what?

We're already in a state of friction where people irrationally fear the 'asymptomatic' (aren't we all asymptomatic of something all the time all year round?). It's not easy to reset that. Fear is a primal emotion not easily overcome.

This is what I mean when I rail against bad leadership. Politicians are too busy peddling false hope to protect their ass and get re-elected and do the right thing like they did in Sweden. 

On outliers. That's what they are. OUTLIERS. The likelihood of a healthy person with ostensibly no underlying conditions contracting the virus is remote.

You're more likely to die of several other diseases and incidences (ie car accident) then you are from Covid-19. This is what we call statistical probability.

Use it. Drop the 'yeh but preventative' posture and adopt a realistic and reasoned one. Waiting on a vaccine is simply irrational and condemns you to a permanent state of not living your life for a statistical improbability.

Consider:

-Over 5,929,848 people have been tested for COVID-19 in Canada. This corresponds to a test rate of 157,754 per 1 million people. Of all people tested, 2.1% have been found to be positive. For more detailed information about trends in laboratory testing for COVID-19 in Canada, please see the Detailed weekly epidemiological report (PDF).

5 million tests. Just 2%. We're seeing these sorts of statistics across the board in society. The NFL did a test for 77 000 people. There, it was 0%. 26 000 college students in the USA tested positive. ZERO hospitalizations. And on and on. 

We're over testing. When you have low prevalence (ie cases), it's bound to skew the case number. The CDC advised testing for asymptomatic people even if they came into contact with infected people need not test probably realizing it's misleading. 

To the extent you can trust the tests of course. There's no prove the virus has been isolated.

- Cases have indeed gone up. Since August 1 it went from 434 to 617 in Canada. This is where they manipulate data. Yes, onto itself no one wants to see this but we all know this virus is likely to stick around. Even with the increase it represents .0016% of the population. Add to this tiny stat we're not hospitalizing (thus not overwhelming the system) and deaths aren't increasing, the '25% increase' is pulled out of context and hence their asses. By the way, if anyone cares to observe, the masks do little except create a sad and depressed atmosphere. We're getting little in return. The benefit of this mandate is marginal. 

How can, on a strict statistical basis, this be construed as a pandemic at this point? If there was no media and 'corona virus' counters, would we notice? What if we post 'flu meters' and set it next to Covid-19? Would this make us realize we're over reacting?

Now, I understand this can chance come the fall. But hospitals are always overwhelmed during flu season. They want to avoid a 'tag team' of Covid-19 and the flu disaster. I get this. But how's about they chill out a little and let this play out? Part of the reason there's an uptick is because there was probably a lag having locked down healthy people. Now we're getting back to some level of normalcy (and I use this term loosely because I'm not seeing normal behaviour from some people), it was bound and known to lead to an uptick. It's happening in Europe. It will happen here. We likely will hit over 1000 cases again. It's also likely, listening to the poor rhetoric of officials, they will lockdown. Ontario and B.C. have already 'paused' reopening. Thus prolonging the misery on the health end and on the economic side. Together, they spell disaster now and down the road. 

Here, I sympathize and agree if we can at least manage it to some degree, do it. But we're doing everything we can. There's not much more we can do unless we go full police state and this would be completely unacceptable and grotesque for a non-lethal threat. That response would be disproportionate to the threat.

Our response will be key. 

All this matters because we're rearranging the furniture for all this.

In the process, messing up our psyche; out internal fortitude.

And if we keep this up, our immune system that took us thousands of years to build up. We've lived with viruses (which have been around for about 1.5 billion years) for centuries. Vaccines only came in the mid-20th century and we managed. 

Toughen up people.

Time to take back YOUR life.













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